20% of South Africans may already be infected

(Johannesburg) The Minister of Health estimates that around 12 million South Africans could have contracted the coronavirus, while statistics have been confirming a decline in the epidemic for several weeks.

Posted on Sep 15, 2020 at 11:37 am

France Media Agency

Officially, the country has 650,749 cases, or 47.8% of the cases in all of Africa.

However, the actual contamination numbers could be much larger when extrapolated from studies with antibodies.

“Updated models currently predict that a total of 12 million South Africans (detected and undetected) will likely be infected with the coronavirus, i.e. around 20% of the population,” Minister of Health Zweli Mkhize wrote in a statement Monday evening.

The country is conducting a study to determine the exact level of seroprevalence of coronavirus antibodies in 58 million people.

For the Minister of Health, the decline in the number of new infections seen in recent weeks “raises questions about the level of immunity that may already exist in the country”.

For Professor Shabir Madhi of the Witwatersrand University in Johannesburg, a specialist in the field, the infection rate in the most densely populated regions of the country could be as high as 35 to 40%, he said on Sunday. an online conference.

South Africa has fallen from 10,000 to 15,000 new cases per day in July to fewer than 2,000 in the past few days.

As of Monday, the number of new cases was only 956, the second time in less than a week that this number has fallen below the thousand mark.